Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3063.898755 3307.954281 3555.028708 3823.565684 4106.870753 4396.550062 4714.805355
2024-12-29 2711.598002 3079.709988 3465.978328 3900.273788 4373.705541 4872.912554 5437.834133
2025-01-05 2456.221493 2897.918991 3373.913852 3922.456213 4534.562135 5194.041417 5955.674664
2025-01-12 2250.518008 2743.398991 3286.718000 3925.898691 4653.003698 5450.202582 6386.031130
2025-01-19 2012.695774 2531.574211 3116.003819 3816.976138 4628.691623 5532.991062 6610.307966
2025-01-26 1941.554504 2504.316785 3149.151317 3934.440808 4856.477026 5896.398057 7149.297095
2025-02-02 1858.446470 2455.350830 3150.528069 4009.299442 5030.664456 6195.734466 7613.906328
2025-02-09 1745.129969 2362.218193 3092.737173 4008.055543 5110.536863 6382.111722 7945.404399
2025-02-16 1629.851100 2259.697347 3017.380939 3979.917369 5153.493485 6521.440283 8219.171537
2025-02-23 1560.252562 2209.943653 3002.697388 4022.053176 5278.169542 6755.753730 8604.485710
2025-03-02 1475.058183 2135.594044 2953.359672 4017.823521 5343.561261 6917.283594 8902.175097
2025-03-09 1428.879907 2108.934967 2961.596026 4083.299221 5493.158522 7179.775434 9321.608086
2025-03-16 1342.273110 2026.420456 2897.001052 4056.417367 5529.083423 7306.530115 9581.266078
2025-03-23 1307.035640 2010.705011 2917.160508 4136.570675 5698.766827 7597.862450 10043.501962
2025-03-30 1251.181036 1964.101454 2894.577256 4159.742142 5795.254332 7798.495959 10395.105474
2025-04-06 1191.544062 1909.335662 2858.653091 4163.337974 5865.174127 7965.245985 10704.893279
2025-04-13 1091.395467 1793.233372 2736.456778 4049.545970 5780.798086 7936.109403 10769.159512
2025-04-20 1084.614101 1809.312308 2792.702179 4172.260466 6002.747436 8293.498177 11317.978665
2025-04-27 1062.461204 1801.953887 2816.008221 4250.443339 6166.803117 8578.434583 11777.646773
2025-05-04 1014.097222 1754.106513 2781.542806 4249.144335 6225.529098 8728.875733 12068.034761
2025-05-11 959.207754 1694.125487 2727.928839 4219.758452 6245.510983 8828.648741 12293.773205
2025-05-18 931.208670 1673.269422 2728.411244 4263.761801 6362.702548 9053.703829 12679.983787
2025-05-25 889.508779 1629.677714 2694.897571 4259.344911 6414.073659 9193.144171 12956.866403